The ‘2030 problem’ is bad news for boomers (and everyone else, too)

Houston, we’ve got a “2030 problem.” In 2010, the average number of potential caregivers per person over 80 was 7:1. By 2030, when boomers are in the 86-104 range, that ratio will drop to only 4:1. And by 2050, it dwindles to 3:1. Those years are a long way off, but estimates are that 60 million boomers will be alive in 2030 and 20 million in 2050, barring an awful advent of a Logan’s Run dystopic future.

A new report from AARP, The Aging of the Baby Boom and the Growing Care Gap, looks at the problem and says that we need to act now (WaPo, 8/26):

“It’s a wake-up call for aging boomers,” said Lynn Feinberg, a senior strategic policy adviser at the AARP Public Policy Institute and an author of the report. “We’re really moving toward an uncertain future as…relying on our family and friends to provide long-term care isn’t going to be realistic anymore.”

[T]he country needs policies that will provide for better support for caregivers and more affordable options for home care, Feinberg said. A federal commission on long-term care is expected to come up with recommendations this fall.

Related: What Funders Need to Know – Aging (June 2013)

CHANGE | Speaking of policy and demographics, The Atlantic has a fascinating look at Millennials and how their lack of faith in government is informing the ways in which they seek to change the world. (Atlantic, 8/26)

COMMUNITY | Capital Business has a profile of Ed Lazere, head of the D.C. Fiscal Policy Institute and board member at the Consumer Health Foundation, which outlines his thoughts on the wisdom of the city’s proposed D.C. United stadium. (WaPo, 8/26)

TRANSIT | Metro has been single-tracking and closing the Friendship Heights and Medical Center stations (among many others) since at least 2009. One might think that four years would be enough to make serious progress toward restoring reliable service, but one would be wrong! Instead, Metro has found some new excuses problems and might require those stations to shut down for six weeks. (NBC, 8/25)

VIOLENCE | The Institute for Community Peace is a national funding collaborative that researches best practices for philanthropic strategies around violence prevention. This week, we’re running a three-part series from ICP titled Lessons unheeded, or how not to repeat a history of violence, which offers short vignettes about how funders can frame their thinking around addressing community violence. Here’s part one. (Daily, 8/26)


If the MTV Video Music Awards can teach us anything, it’s that the ‘2030 problem’ is mild in comparison to the violent shredding of our culture’s fabric. Miley Cyrus might have unironically embarrassed herself and the rest of the country last night, but the good news is that The Onion saw this coming way back in 2008. So at least we can laugh at that!